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Your narrative is certainly a possibility. The argument begins grounded on 'facts' I've also encountered in the Western & Allied press up to "suck it up and endure." Then the speculative lurch to "The ensuing collapse..." was a bit of an abrupt 'great leap forward.' It would be interesting if you could propose some intermediary events on a timescale of 8 weeks to 48 months that are likely to unfold between now and the undated "collapse."

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Hard to say. Change occurs gradually and cumulatively, then suddenly, as quantity passes into quality (Hegel). The regime is putting much store in its EV exports, the trigger might be the EU probe finding unfair trade practices (mercantist subsidies) and slap protective tariffs. This would compound all the other of China's economic woes and prove a tipping point.

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