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It’s interesting to note that the PMC is the class most threatened by AI to have their jobs taken. It’s much easier to automate data input and processing than it is to build robots to do skilled manual labor.

That said, AI still can’t (and shouldn’t) make critical decisions for us. AIs still can’t (and probably shouldn’t) design themselves and determine which problems are the highest priority to solve. Highly skilled knowledge workers will always be needed to form and guide these systems, and in turn be informed by their superhuman ability to detect subtle or novel patterns.

So what happens to the PMC as their value erodes, both through market and political forces? There are only so many jobs to be filled by skilled manual workers (construction, maintenance, manufacturing). Upward mobility is highly limited by those already in privileged positions (ie the owning class). Oh, and who’s going to pay all those skilled manual workers in the first place, as their well-compensated clients evaporate? (The owning class is already a relatively small group and can only sustain a small portion of these skilled laborers.)

I can’t imagine any sustainable, humane future that doesn’t require some form of Universal Basic Income. The alternatives are too unpleasant to dwell on. I’d love to be convinced otherwise.

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